Academic-Session
0xc4843becbc3252a6a83a698e106f29aa79164cd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$22.3K
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
13892 shares @ 83.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.6K
$936.97
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34189 shares @ 33.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$-7.3K
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
2189 shares @ 79.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.6K
$-132.97
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
24167 shares @ 13.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1283 shares @ 44.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$872.73
$303.48
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$735.00
$185.00
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
20000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$170.00
$-150.00
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?
2000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$140.00
$-480.00
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
14068 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.55
$-2.7K
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
5118 shares @ 10.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.92
$-434.51
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.49Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$7.38Jun 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$71.40Jun 8, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$12.75Jun 8, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$5.10Jun 8, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$5.10Jun 8, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$5.10Jun 8, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$5.10Jun 8, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$0.27Jun 8, 21:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?$34.28Jun 5, 08:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $46.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.