Fat-Ectoderm
0xc484444276a46971c8e267092c3da08a0f848b5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$621.10
Total PnL
$-148.17
Realised
$-5.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
80 shares @ 81.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$73.67
$8.67
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$63.46
$13.46
- YES
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
257 shares @ 29.2¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$60.43
$-14.56
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
61 shares @ 65.8¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$51.03
$11.03
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
405 shares @ 37.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.59
$-105.41
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
49 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$40.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
71 shares @ 81.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$38.72
$-19.24
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
83 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
52 shares @ 57.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$35.17
$5.17
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
40 shares @ 40.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$71.43May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$16.95May 17, 02:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.20May 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$24.06May 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00May 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00May 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.22May 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$7.10May 16, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.65May 16, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.20May 16, 16:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$37.90May 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.05May 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$40.22May 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$6.26May 15, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.38May 15, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.89May 15, 10:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $20.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".