0xc491ae82b6c84c9cd87210ac5a6c8f3e3a6a8012
0xc491ae82b6c84c9cd87210ac5a6c8f3e3a6a8012
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$8.43
Total PnL
$-799.35
Realised
$-143.87
Win rate
7%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$4.23
$1.23
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.04
$0.14
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1 shares @ 60.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.16
$-0.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
2638 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.75
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
2429 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- NO
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-01?
2008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
1137 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-55.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
627 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-56.54
- MAPLE LEAFS
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs
221 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-93.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
167 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00May 8, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.00May 8, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00May 8, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 8, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$0.00May 8, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$0.00May 8, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 8, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 10?$0.00May 8, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00May 8, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.00May 7, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00May 7, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 7, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$0.00May 7, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?$0.00May 7, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 7, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 10?$0.00May 7, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00May 7, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.00May 7, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00May 7, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00May 7, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.