Gregarious-Gram
0xc4adfb056779f13398dbb6f19da4542b13a46ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.76
Total PnL
$-17.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
32 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
23 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$2.00Apr 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.00Apr 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1.00Apr 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$2.00Apr 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?$1.00Apr 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.00Apr 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$2.00Apr 8, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00Apr 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?$1.00Apr 8, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$1.00Apr 8, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$2.78Apr 8, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Apr 7, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?$1.00Apr 7, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$1.00Apr 7, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 7, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.