Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?
Probability
87¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+9.0pp
24h Vol
$7.21
Liquidity
$549.14
Probability (last 7 days)
+18.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 9pp over 24h
Now 87¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 200.2h
- 15:49SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 87¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 86¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 86¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 86¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 86¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 86¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 78¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 87¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 86¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 86¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 86¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 86¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 80¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 78¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 77¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 77¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 84¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 74¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled to occur on May 4, 2026 at the Metropolitan Museum of Art in New York City. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya wears a ring on the ring finger of her left hand at any point during her appearance at the 2026 Met Gala. Any ring will qualify, regardless of material. If Zendaya does not attend the Met Gala, this market will resolve to "No". No afterparties or later events will qualify; only appearances at the Met Gala itself will count. If the Met Gala does not take place by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be photos or videos of the event.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).