Wary-Tragedy
0xc4c3c42ba5460c8d1309aed95e703f0420db2e3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$15.2K
Total PnL
$-28.6K
Realised
$-114.06
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
3350 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.2K
$184.26
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$25.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.6K
$-5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 10.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-5.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$965.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$835.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5000 shares @ 26.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$824.98
$-514.95
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$785.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$515.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$505.00
$95.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.91Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$170.00Jun 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$10.00Jun 12, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$10.69Jun 12, 08:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.84Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$113.26Jun 11, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.90Jun 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.20Jun 11, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92.68Jun 11, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$123.56Jun 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$133.85Jun 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$144.14Jun 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$164.72Jun 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$185.30Jun 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$195.59Jun 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$226.45Jun 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$421.80Jun 11, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$247.03Jun 11, 10:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$9.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 25, 08:10 UTC → May 25, 08:04 UTC
- BUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$9.9K@99¢May 25, 08:04 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$9.9K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
$9.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $320.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.