Costly-Fiddle
0xc4c943e908d3b2f8f434fe4ea679e62e866833e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$32.34
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$6.85
$1.85
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will London have between 10-15mm of precipitation in May?
6 shares @ 79.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.48
$-2.52
- OVER
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
9388 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- TIMBERWOLVES
Clippers vs. Timberwolves
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 10-15mm of precipitation in May?$5.05May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$20.02May 18, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$5.07May 18, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Penguins$60.00May 18, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Penguins$32.40Apr 11, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$2.02Mar 26, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$4.02Mar 26, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$4.11Mar 26, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$5.00Mar 26, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$4.00Mar 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$4.00Mar 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$2.00Mar 9, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.03Mar 9, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Wizards$6.17Mar 9, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$9.08Mar 9, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$10.07Mar 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$10.00Feb 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Timberwolves$5.00Feb 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Wizards$5.00Feb 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$9.00Feb 8, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $277.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".