0xc4f8cb329ea0637fd26ca0d600392c50a5ac8a4a
0xc4f8cb329ea0637fd26ca0d600392c50a5ac8a4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$18.1K
Total PnL
$-16.6K
Realised
$-63.05
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
45205 shares @ 16.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.9K
$335.19
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
38655 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.8K
$567.31
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
36000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$914.40
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
64833 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$583.50
$229.70
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
29632 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$563.00
$-663.63
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
18516 shares @ 15.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$490.66
$-2.4K
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
56195 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$421.46
$-1.0K
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
73028 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$255.60
$-2.9K
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
43332 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.33
$-331.06
- NO
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
11900 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-590.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.34Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.37Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$33.83Jun 11, 14:26 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.41Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.18Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.42Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$200.00Jun 8, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$25.08Jun 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.20Jun 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.53Jun 8, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.92Jun 8, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.29Jun 8, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.67Jun 8, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.04Jun 8, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.49Jun 8, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.41Jun 8, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.25Jun 8, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.12Jun 8, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.28Jun 8, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.