Impolite-Thunderstorm
0xc534b3ad7e0d06943a86796f13ad0db1ed6bb734
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$259.56
Total PnL
$-49.10
Realised
$-20.42
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
180 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$180.00
$12.60
- NO
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?
27 shares @ 78.2¢·now 72.4¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$19.82
$-1.59
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
133 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$15.33
$0.67
- YES
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$11.20
$-0.60
- NO
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$8.80
$-2.60
- NO
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$8.50
$-1.10
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
60 shares @ 54.7¢·now 8.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$-27.58
- NO
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.70
$-2.50
- NO
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$3.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.25
$-3.75
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.40Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$14.66Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$32.58Jun 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$21.30Jun 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$20.20Jun 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$8.11Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$10.91Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$12.68Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$28.95Jun 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$31.00Jun 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$28.95Jun 12, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$16.50Jun 12, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$11.00Jun 12, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$27.75Jun 12, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?$0.72Jun 12, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$12.82Jun 12, 01:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.06Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.79Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$11.75Jun 11, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$0.18Jun 11, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.