Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Probability
56¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$46.96
Liquidity
$14.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 58¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 55¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 56¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 58¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 58¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 58¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).