Buoyant-Methodology
0xc559898e70ac2290fa16f420144863a43833af62
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$5.20
Total PnL
$1.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$0.79
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.84
$0.75
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.58
$0.49
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.46
$0.38
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.44
$0.35
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.41
$0.33
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.26
$0.18
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.17
$0.09
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.11
$0.03
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.10
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 15, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 15, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 15, 04:52 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?$0.26May 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.1KMay 15, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.00May 15, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 15, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.00May 15, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.00May 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.00May 15, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.00May 15, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.5KMay 15, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.6KMay 15, 03:42 UTC
- CONVERSION2026 FIFA World Cup Winner $5.05May 15, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00May 15, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.03May 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Nov 23, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130K in July?$8.98Nov 23, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130K in July?$8.41Jul 7, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $345.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".