Lighthearted-Task
0xc563907ae85602c1c8cdccc7ad84c8c64f0b0bc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$13.45
Total PnL
$-119.14
Realised
$0.12
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.92
$1.92
- SABRES
Islanders vs. Sabres
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.08
$1.08
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.64
$0.63
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.13
$0.05
- NO
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
3879 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- NO
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-02-14?
2065 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
507 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- FLAMES
Flames vs. Kings
45 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.89
- CARABELLI
Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez
44 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMSuns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5$0.00Apr 1, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hawks (-2.5)$0.00Apr 1, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStars vs. Bruins$2.71Mar 31, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5$2.69Mar 31, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hawks (-2.5)$2.73Mar 31, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Bruins$2.00Mar 31, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$1.76Mar 31, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5$2.00Mar 31, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRed Wings vs. Penguins$2.27Mar 31, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5$2.00Mar 31, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.87Mar 31, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5$2.00Mar 31, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5$2.00Mar 31, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFlyers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5$1.96Mar 31, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5$2.00Mar 31, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$2.00Mar 31, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$2.31Mar 31, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Penguins$2.00Mar 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?$2.36Mar 31, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$0.12Mar 31, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.