Cumbersome-Spree
0xc591f6033730dd3eb57cb62c35d161bf6d7bf1fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-285.17
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
6080 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-126.69
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
95 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.08
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
72 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by October 31, 2026?$131.65Jun 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$132.78Jun 21, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$19.69Jun 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$19.84Jun 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$149.70Jun 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$149.65Jun 15, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$121.59Jun 14, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$68.67Jun 12, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$90.00Apr 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$50.00Apr 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$50.00Apr 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$18.94Apr 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$121.02Apr 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$103.01Apr 18, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?$0.00Mar 25, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 25, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$98.80Mar 10, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$68.74Mar 4, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?$30.06Feb 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$62.23Feb 19, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $81.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 21:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.