Formal-Jackal
0xc5aedfb4343c0120da31f0518f327611b6914cf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$411.37
Total PnL
$-221.98
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
95%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
900 shares @ 29.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$251.99
$-14.99
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
400 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.00
$2.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
800 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.00
$-19.70
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4103 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.41
$-2.32
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.00
$-16.36
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.17
$11.78
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-8.25
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-7.25
- YES
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
100 shares @ 11.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.15
$-10.25
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
148 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.74
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.08Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.01Jun 13, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.09Jun 13, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.21Jun 13, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.31Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.80Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.14Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$11.56Jun 11, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$0.68Jun 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$2.88Jun 11, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$5.60Jun 11, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$7.28Jun 11, 10:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.