Humongous-Maybe
0xc5bdf06de8ac9e1a904408d101c0cdc86571ceaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$12.6K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-277.24
Win rate
46%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2308 shares @ 80.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$90.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
1584 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.5K
$-7.26
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2139 shares @ 47.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$51.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1032 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$12.12
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
505 shares @ 90.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$500.17
$44.03
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
517 shares @ 93.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$488.15
$6.94
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2377 shares @ 26.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$487.36
$-147.17
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
491 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$482.35
$44.97
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
427 shares @ 94.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$421.89
$18.65
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
637 shares @ 31.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$404.65
$204.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$19.52Jun 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.26Jun 14, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$13.03Jun 14, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$18.78Jun 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$22.26Jun 14, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$107.25Jun 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$216.59Jun 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$9.76Jun 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$5.10Jun 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$204.02Jun 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$5.34Jun 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5$9.87Jun 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$26.05Jun 14, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$46.25Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$12.55Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92.73Jun 14, 00:07 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.05Jun 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$10.32Jun 13, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.