Happy-Parchment
0xc5c9f4e998ddeb0818ebf735f8f8b85417b98faf
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
14
Open notional
$446.72
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$127.00
$71.00
- YES
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
659 shares @ 30.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$115.41
$-84.59
- YES
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
355 shares @ 31.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.76
$1.04
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
200 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
10 shares @ 92.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.55
$0.28
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
207251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-784.03
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
1650 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-23.10
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
1389 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1351 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.3113h ago
- REWARD$0.4714h ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$135.1319h ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$8.8423h ago
- REWARD$2.932d ago
- REWARD$0.122d ago
- REWARD$1.513d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$8.883d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$24.003d ago
- REWARD$1.133d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.434d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.434d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.434d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.434d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.434d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$2.654d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.434d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.434d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$0.224d ago
- REWARD$1.555d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $18.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 50d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.