Esteemed-Punch
0xc5cf7d720a18f60b9fa6a0d39f49c17d421190e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-258.57
Win rate
39%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
903 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$903.10
$352.21
- SARPSBORG 08 FF
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
740 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$740.00
$199.80
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
685 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$685.00
$102.75
- NO
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?
645 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$645.00
$83.85
- NO
Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?
308 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$308.00
$33.94
- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
98 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$98.00
$73.50
- NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
98 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$98.00
$53.90
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.10
$6.94
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
40 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$40.00
$10.00
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
23 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$21.71
$5.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?$57.17Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$80.24Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCanva IPO before 2027?$228.00Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$342.60Apr 27, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$484.80Apr 27, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$80.24Apr 24, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanva IPO before 2027?$228.00Apr 23, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$187.68Apr 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$203.32Apr 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$183.60Apr 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$324.09Apr 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$354.90Apr 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$3.12Apr 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$7.60Apr 13, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$61.28Apr 13, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?$274.06Apr 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)$540.20Apr 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$53.62Apr 13, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$335.01Apr 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$354.90Apr 13, 05:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $273.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.