0xc60b8a4cb5332006ce7ae20acbf7bf9e4e43987e
0xc60b8a4cb5332006ce7ae20acbf7bf9e4e43987e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$114.77
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-810.54
Win rate
33%
135 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
24 shares @ 44.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$23.72
$13.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
18 shares @ 54.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$18.01
$8.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
17 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$16.97
$14.09
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
34 shares @ 53.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.83
$-1.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
17 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$16.64
$10.98
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
25 shares @ 62.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.63
$-2.87
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.97
$0.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8PM ET
352 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-86.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7AM ET
273 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-63.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
205 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-78.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.10Feb 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$1.02Feb 14, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$3.46Feb 14, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on February 14?$2.94Feb 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 14?$2.45Feb 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 13?$5.16Feb 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 13?$5.16Feb 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on February 13?$4.05Feb 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on February 13?$3.55Feb 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on February 13?$4.05Feb 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on February 13?$3.55Feb 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$2.91Feb 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.44Feb 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$3.71Feb 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$3.71Feb 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.01Feb 13, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$3.36Feb 13, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.01Feb 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$19.27Feb 13, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.90Feb 13, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
61/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 135 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
135 closed markets, 33% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 135 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.