Untidy-Receipt
0xc60e7d49eac0aed926a696f56cf8372a7a89a4dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-102.87
Realised
$-3.62
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8AM ET
2450 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5PM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
200 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?
66 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 30?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?
45 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
45 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 19?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 20?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?$0.89Mar 24, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?$1.00Mar 24, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 30?$1.00Mar 24, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?$1.00Mar 24, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?$0.55Mar 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.94Mar 21, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.94Mar 21, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.94Mar 21, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.94Mar 21, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.94Mar 21, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.94Mar 21, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.94Mar 21, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Mar 20, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.