Substantial-Coupon
0xc615d34879c57eef6ab81cf8f6e3d239eae7e982
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$101.6K
Total PnL
$-21.9K
Realised
$-433.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
70481 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.8K
$2.8K
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
8796 shares @ 76.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.7K
$2.0K
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
141093 shares @ 17.7¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.7K
$-16.3K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
37471 shares @ 24.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$-2.8K
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
10348 shares @ 44.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$-2.5K
- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
10014 shares @ 9.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$163.77
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10544 shares @ 23.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-1.4K
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
4569 shares @ 25.1¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-142.78
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1133 shares @ 66.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$866.59
$115.03
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
20000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$789.99
$-809.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$349.30Jun 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.08Jun 4, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 4, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$26.32Jun 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 4, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.25Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$2.37Jun 3, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.26Jun 3, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.26Jun 3, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 3, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$25.13Jun 3, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$8.33Jun 3, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.18Jun 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$8.72Jun 3, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$5.26Jun 3, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$0.26Jun 3, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$6.84Jun 3, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.