Rotating-Flanker
0xc6777f27f1829916c5fabdd97662c79d6d77677a
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$263.47
Total PnL
$-42.97
Realised
$1.29
Win rate
67%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Tribute to America Rally?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$10.00
$4.70
- NO
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$10.00
$3.20
- NO
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.86
$3.05
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 86.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$9.05
$0.40
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 37.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.70
$4.95
- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.45
$0.15
- NO
Will Vance say "Economy" during Milwaukee remarks?
8 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$7.76
$5.20
- YES
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
9 shares @ 51.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 18, 2026$7.06
$2.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$5.00
$2.45
- NO
Will Trump say "Democrat" during Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.00
$3.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$0.40Jul 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during cabinet meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?$4.87Jul 29, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.79Jul 29, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Democrat" during Tele-Rally?$0.00Jul 29, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obama" during Tele-Rally?$0.00Jul 29, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obama" during Tele-Rally?$0.16Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obama" during Tele-Rally?$0.84Jul 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Democrat" during Tele-Rally?$1.00Jul 28, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$5.00Jul 28, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$5.00Jul 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill episode not air?$1.00Jul 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting?$1.25Jul 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Voter ID" during Tele-Rally?$1.55Jul 28, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$10.00Jul 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?$2.25Jul 28, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.00Jul 28, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.79Jul 28, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$0.00Jul 28, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.