Complicated-Banker
0xc68ba7acfaedddbd09a1285acdaf7a7ce4f8582e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.48
Total PnL
$-1.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.04May 14, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.73May 14, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.48May 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.12May 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.06May 14, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 13, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".