Scary-Incidence
0xc6988d1539577b489c3db1274ef81182e97a454c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$575.38
Total PnL
$-135.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?
567 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 18, 2026$565.53
$-0.47
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
- SABRES
Flames vs. Sabres
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-11-15?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- HURRICANES
Hurricanes vs. Wild
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia win on 2025-11-15?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- ALABAMA
Oklahoma vs. Alabama
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- SAINT JOSEPHS HAWKS
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Penn Quakers
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- CHARLESTON COUGARS
Drake Bulldogs vs. Charleston Cougars
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- SAN JOSE STATE
San Jose State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$566.09May 18, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$340.34May 18, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 17?$226.23May 18, 06:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 17?$226.02May 17, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?$340.02May 17, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?$150.15May 17, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?$100.10May 17, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?$315.32May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?$150.01May 17, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 16?$150.00May 17, 06:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?$315.02May 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17?$100.01May 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 16?$149.86May 16, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?$548.55May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?$548.04May 16, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 15?$564.69May 16, 05:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 15?$563.12May 15, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $416.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".