Kooky-Tooth
0xc6a28c25a8409f2d5bea1d5041355eec097fd076
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$9.9K
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-372.85
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
6241 shares @ 60.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.6K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?
1639 shares @ 90.7¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.5K
$-17.69
- NO
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?
2012 shares @ 72.2¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.3K
$-144.62
- NO
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
1566 shares @ 32.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$547.45
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
2600 shares @ 33.2¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$585.00
$-279.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
590 shares @ 86.3¢·now 79.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$469.93
$-39.36
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
1210 shares @ 44.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$423.53
$-114.61
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
488 shares @ 38.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$261.07
$71.91
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
5303 shares @ 29.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$243.93
$-1.3K
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2600 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.00
$-49.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$3.40Jul 16, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $26.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.