Punctual-Pendulum
0xc6d422f3d9af9ab7081e09c4ff7918eddce55c1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$30.58
Total PnL
$0.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$10.00May 14, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.50May 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$10.00May 14, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$14.65May 14, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$16.08May 14, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$14.62Mar 5, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$16.00Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$14.96Mar 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$15.67Mar 5, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$15.99Feb 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$15.00Feb 26, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?$10.02Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 7?$10.15Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in January?$10.81Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in January?$10.79Jan 7, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 7?$10.00Jan 7, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?$10.00Jan 7, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.75Jan 7, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$10.02Jan 7, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$10.03Jan 7, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $354.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.