Soggy-Placebo
0xc73e2d95fcdf289b6016c0bbbf4e30c495cd2a79
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$827.17
Total PnL
$83.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?
668 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$663.90
$3.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$82.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?
80 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$79.96
$79.96
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 13°C or below on April 30?
358 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 14°C on April 30?
358 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 16°C on April 30?
334 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C on April 30?
248 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on April 30?
80 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 30?
80 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 30?
80 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 30?$0.2638m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$247.501h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?$4.951h ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on April 30?$0.351h ago
- REDEEMClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$399.999h ago
- YIELD$0.029h ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$7.8513h ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$40.1413h ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$96.5013h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $33.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 38m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".