Giving-Eyeball
0xc7b030da5dcadfa47af5dfa11b69b8f9726c6222
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$263.06
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-736.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
113 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.70
$1.20
- NO
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?
110 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$94.05
$2.75
- NO
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?
76 shares @ 82.9¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$56.31
$-6.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
2824 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2021$0.00
$-417.25
- YES
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
1716 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2020$0.00
$-548.00
- NO
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021?
1048 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2021$0.00
$-150.00
- SAINTS
Will the Buccaneers or the Saints win their Jan 17th matchup?
564 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2021$0.00
$-303.34
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
89 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
64 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?
39 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?$58.10Jun 30, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?$5.00Jun 30, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$103.95Jun 30, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?$7.55Jun 30, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$41.50Jun 30, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?$49.80Jun 30, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?$0.00Jun 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$0.00Jun 7, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?$10.22May 4, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?$23.57May 4, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Celtics$17.91May 3, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$45.89May 3, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?$7.06May 3, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Julia Wolf on ICEMAN?$22.47May 3, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$25.44May 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBaltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees$96.67May 2, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$125.00May 2, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$120.00May 2, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees$60.68May 2, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$300.00May 2, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $46.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.