Vigorous-Simple
0xc828a4ebaa5dae5cc1e66a028256ed84efc7dbfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$100.73
Total PnL
$-130.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$24.50
$-45.50
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10350 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.53
$-5.17
- YES
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?
676 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$14.20
$1.35
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
1500 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.25
$-40.75
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
5250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.63
$-2.63
- YES
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
5250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.63
$-2.63
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
5000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.50
$-22.50
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$1.9213m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$0.064h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$0.804h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$1.904h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$1.506h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$6.676h ago
- YIELD$0.007h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$11.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$25.0016h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET$3.3018h ago
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET$6.0018h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET$2.3023h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET$0.4623h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET$3.601d ago
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET$6.001d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET$3.741d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET$3.741d ago
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1AM ET$6.001d ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET$10.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 13m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
