Hard-To-Find-Reveal
0xc87ae1463755dfd6412843f6275cccf2ca09022e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$889.69
Total PnL
$303.36
Realised
$478.40
Win rate
85%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
2185 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.56
$-35.30
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1056 shares @ 9.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.39
$21.39
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2658 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$67.52
$-10.30
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
2364 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$48.45
$-7.11
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3274 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$47.47
$-32.61
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
2166 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$46.35
$-9.81
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1793 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$42.14
$-3.72
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
44 shares @ 92.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.34
$-1.36
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
1187 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$38.57
$-3.14
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
1018 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$32.57
$-1.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.05May 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.90May 18, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.16May 18, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42May 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.83May 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.31May 18, 10:26 UTC
- REWARD$1.43May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.21May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.37May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.11May 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.07May 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$7.79May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.38May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.25May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.15May 18, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.22May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.92May 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.84May 18, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.02May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.82May 18, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".