Hearty-Ability
0xc893806c2dbabd97f4fbe6ed271fb867f666b7b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$885.19
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
11172 shares @ 13.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$-272.03
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-2.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
20851 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-161.18
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
17966 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?
6500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-119.91
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
4913 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.46
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2290 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-36.07
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
487 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 1-7?
300 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-165.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $2.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.