0xc8ce4d3b14980afe3b558dab35d090903b17d9e5
0xc8ce4d3b14980afe3b558dab35d090903b17d9e5
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$28.60
Total PnL
$-96.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
47 shares @ 53.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.88
$-2.12
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.35
$-0.65
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.56
$-0.43
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
- YES
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.06
$-1.94
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0014h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1.033d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?$1.033d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.033d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$5.007d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$20.007d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$31.697d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$9.2010d ago
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.1510d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19d ago
- Last active
- 14h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".