Content-Whack
0xc90c50c497abfc307af45794e6f4f942d0dc9bb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-50.29
Realised
$15.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2786 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$55.39
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
210 shares @ 72.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$141.75
$-9.45
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 21?
130 shares @ 59.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$129.94
$52.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?
173 shares @ 60.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$97.93
$-6.20
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?
151 shares @ 51.1¢·now 57.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$85.88
$8.88
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.50
$2.50
- YES
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
35 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.25
$1.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?
91 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.05
$-64.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?
300 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-59.50
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$10.45Aug 21, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$10.45Aug 21, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?$3.67Aug 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$2.53Aug 21, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?$3.67Aug 21, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$1.10Aug 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$2.00Aug 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$3.00Aug 21, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$20.90Aug 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$4.50Aug 21, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$10.25Aug 21, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?$45.79Aug 21, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$95.90Aug 21, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?$52.91Aug 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$1.87Aug 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$9.29Aug 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22?$1.91Aug 21, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$95.64Aug 21, 10:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Aug 21, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.19Aug 21, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.