Pastel-Crate
0xc948fd3e03895c8bad12135844aa6a484a0a33a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$31.9K
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
15963 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$15.3K
$324.56
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
5747 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$201.16
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
6579 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$131.59
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
2316 shares @ 90.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.2K
$53.74
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
1100 shares @ 90.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$39.51
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$16.67
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1754 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.0K
$8.82
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1044 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$995.06
$-4.94
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
5495 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
2703 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance? AND UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims) AND O/U 2.5 Rounds$7.60Jul 25, 09:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$2.1KJul 12, 11:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 1, 09:00 UTC → Jun 1, 08:51 UTC
- BUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$5.1K@97¢Jun 1, 08:51 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$5.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.