Mushy-Bacterium
0xc974c6ab4032e89aef89bf2489709905ef41eb16
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$12.6K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$231.93
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 17.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.2K
$-330.00
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
3000 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.0K
$22.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8995 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$-4.49
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7500 shares @ 9.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$791.25
$78.76
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7500 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$723.76
$-116.25
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7672 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$640.64
$-57.53
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7500 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$588.76
$-48.74
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7563 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$389.49
$3.78
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
500 shares @ 86.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$312.50
$-117.50
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$242.50
$-182.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$86.17Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$0.83Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$0.96Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$15.64Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$7.82Jun 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$7.82Jun 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$56.86Jun 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$45.36Jun 13, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$5.35Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$43.18Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56.46Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$981.49Jun 13, 07:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.02Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.52Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$999.99Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.04Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$400.33Jun 12, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$527.10Jun 12, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$54.56Jun 12, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $103.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.