Trustworthy-Geek-Bill
0xc981573fee3400f37bb42df8043f6c7908736b35
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$152.66
Total PnL
$-10.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 9?
40 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$40.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
40 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$40.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on May 9?
36 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$36.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
22 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$21.51
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 9?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$15.02
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
38 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
19 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
19 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$21.502d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$40.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on May 9?$36.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 9?$15.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 9?$40.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?$28.062d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$30.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?$28.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$30.006d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$19.416d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 29?$24.026d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$25.026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 29?$24.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$25.0012d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?$26.0712d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$35.0312d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?$26.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$35.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.0813d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$5.8013d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $22.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
