Writhing-Chick
0xc9e422b92a1878d02a96fef41e855178aae03fd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-1.83
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
647 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
446 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- NETS
Cavaliers vs. Nets
160 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
126 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- BUBLIK
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik
120 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
94 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SABRES
Sabres vs. Lightning
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Pistons
80 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-21.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$16.99May 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$20.41May 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$22.59May 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$18.65May 6, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$20.60May 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$18.62May 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$10.11May 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$11.67May 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$36.09May 6, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$19.65May 1, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$21.71May 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$42.66May 1, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.04Apr 29, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$2.00Apr 29, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$2.30Apr 27, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$50.00Apr 27, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$50.00Apr 27, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$28.27Apr 17, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$32.50Apr 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$41.11Apr 17, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $19.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.