Improbable-Sleeping
0xc9ef9148a612b2c92faa1b6ceaadb955b70ed7e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$56.25
Total PnL
$-188.84
Realised
$9.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.25
$-18.75
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
1470 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
358 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $22.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".