Deafening-Prayer
0xc9f70a9923934df5bb8d7229e086b0d05bae229b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$160.33
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
169 shares @ 78.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$160.11
$27.56
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 24.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.22
$-1.40
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
148 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
21 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
21 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
21 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
21 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
21 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
21 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
21 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$8.78Jul 1, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?$10.14Jul 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?$0.87Jun 26, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?$5.09Jun 26, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$74.26Jun 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.48Jun 18, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.48Jun 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.48Jun 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.48Jun 18, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.48Jun 18, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.48Jun 18, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.97Jun 18, 12:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.