Bouncy-Route
0xca13834d51558a4df82bca2b6b6174c7997ff9c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$44.19
Total PnL
$34.21
Realised
$73.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
12 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.21
$0.21
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
11 shares @ 93.6¢·now 92.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.61
$0.21
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.10
$0.76
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
4 shares @ 81.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.29
$0.79
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.23
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
13 shares @ 42.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-4.57
- YES
Will James Craig win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?
1290 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will Marius Gierse win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$2.22Jun 4, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.53May 26, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$4.93May 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$4.33May 19, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$4.44May 19, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$15.04May 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.24May 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$15.00May 12, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$6.30May 12, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$7.82May 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.53May 5, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$7.80Apr 29, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$5.40Apr 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season$5.95Apr 20, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$0.65Apr 20, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season$4.20Apr 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season$2.00Apr 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?$1.86Apr 20, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$6.00Apr 20, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".