Stale-Armoire
0xca1f9b9d67d947c8007d9814e8f9d6045cccd282
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-604.03
Realised
$779.00
Win rate
74%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
557 shares @ 73.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$453.62
$43.53
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
305 shares @ 86.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.17
$14.75
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
250 shares @ 86.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.25
$10.35
- NO
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
232 shares @ 72.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$223.61
$54.79
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
229 shares @ 51.7¢·now 95.6¢·exp May 15, 2026$219.13
$100.65
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
288 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$217.44
$-13.12
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
269 shares @ 77.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$216.78
$8.92
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
696 shares @ 55.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$205.38
$-179.05
- NO
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
241 shares @ 78.9¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.18
$10.78
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
193 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$191.77
$33.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$17.51Jun 13, 19:46 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$2.14Jun 13, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13?$20.00Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$16.40Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 18:41 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$17.86Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in NYC on June 14?$2.14Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.00Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$17.71Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$14.60Jun 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$15.00Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$15.11Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$15.11Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$15.11Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$15.11Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$15.11Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$7.54Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?$15.11Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$10.20Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $11.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.