Brilliant-Lookout
0xca24ed40e655a622ef29352e8c3850c1829a686b
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-798.06
Realised
$0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
400 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$397.40
$-0.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
300 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$299.25
$0.45
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?
300 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$298.95
$-0.15
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
11 shares @ 85.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$7.86
$-1.55
- YES
Will EagleRock's market cap be less than $2.0B at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.60
$-1.00
- HAWKS
Knicks vs. Hawks
209 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-98.41
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
193 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-98.53
- PISTONS
Magic vs. Pistons
124 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$298.801h ago
- YIELD$0.005h ago
- REWARD$7.845h ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?$200.0010h ago
- TRADESELLWill EagleRock's market cap be between $3.0B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?$0.1722h ago
- TRADESELLWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?$8.4622h ago
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?$8.5823h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$398.1423h ago
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $3.0B and $3.5B at market close on IPO day?$0.141d ago
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be less than $2.0B at market close on IPO day?$2.601d ago
- TRADESELLWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?$14.801d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$199.401d ago
- TRADESELLWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?$14.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?$13.401d ago
- TRADEBUYWill EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?$14.001d ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$299.102d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?$199.813d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$199.803d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $112.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
