Terrible-Adulthood
0xca4adbf9599e8bc0e8e18e5ebfbb13cee9279d66
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$35.43
Total PnL
$-1.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$6.03
$1.03
- YES
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$3.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.91
$-1.09
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.54
$-2.46
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.88
$-0.12
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 19?
349 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$3.13May 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$1.05May 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$5.15May 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$5.17May 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$5.19May 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$6.00May 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$2.00May 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?$1.05May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 19?$2.10May 17, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".