Medium-Yard
0xca528492d60ca4085bdef42b37f7bc0cab3d49e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-309.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
909 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$558.98
$-41.02
- YES
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
595 shares @ 84.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$502.59
$2.59
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
670 shares @ 74.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$498.92
$-1.08
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
641 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$474.36
$-25.64
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
667 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$416.67
$16.67
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
851 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$395.74
$-4.25
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
504 shares @ 59.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$335.29
$35.29
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
505 shares @ 59.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$300.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
556 shares @ 72.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$236.11
$-163.89
- YES
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
312 shares @ 32.1¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$71.67
$-28.33
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$35.82May 17, 22:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$304.07May 15, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$304.87May 15, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$304.09May 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$141.27May 15, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$503.19May 15, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$505.07May 15, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$504.40May 15, 04:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?$104.75May 14, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$408.48May 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$404.48May 9, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$103.54May 9, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$406.40May 8, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$409.07May 8, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$200.00Apr 6, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$100.00Apr 6, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $241.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".