Cooperative-Share
0xca5fad9232f66e6ca5cc98cfd04f0a550903fe90
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-470.05
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2160 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-36.84
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
30 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
30 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.25
- YES
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?
25 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 7?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 24?
20 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?
19 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 7?
19 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.18Jun 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$3.80Jun 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$14.41Jun 18, 08:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 17, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 17, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$13.00Jun 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$34.71Jun 16, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.60Jun 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.04Jun 16, 08:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jun 15, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$7.97Jun 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.11Jun 15, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.00Jun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.01Jun 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.24Jun 12, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.