Impressionable-Causal
0xca65f31ff5a426e6cdd8367cd59808e32628b1f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
444 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$415.14
$24.42
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
394 shares @ 88.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$376.46
$28.17
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?
346 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$321.78
$10.38
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
309 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$309.00
$19.78
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
10000 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?
299 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-59.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?$311.40Jul 22, 08:55 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?$13.60Jul 3, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?$7.90Jul 1, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$348.29Jun 28, 06:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.00Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.53Jun 23, 22:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.53Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.00Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.68Jun 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?$5.53Jun 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$6.5KJun 2, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$329.73May 29, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$306.99May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$289.22May 22, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$390.72Apr 24, 03:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.00Apr 15, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.25Apr 15, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 2, 02:05 UTC → Jun 2, 01:56 UTC
- BUYKnicks vs. Spurs$6.4K@64¢Jun 2, 01:56 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Knicks vs. Spurs
$6.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $205.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.