Alienated-Neighbourhood
0xca874eb5f9a38b6021bc0c887e1d3c5019393701
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-809.84
Realised
$-4.23
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UNDER
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
921 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$921.00
$442.08
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
701 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$701.00
$287.41
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
475 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$475.00
$76.00
- NO
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
385 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$385.00
$50.05
- CEARÁ SC
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
128 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$64.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
25 shares @ 46.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$8.50
$-3.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.58
$0.52
- OVER
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
788 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-189.12
- IPSWICH TOWN FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
612 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-104.04
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?
574 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-120.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$80.94Apr 27, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?$334.95Apr 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$334.41Apr 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$66.56Apr 10, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?$1.00Apr 10, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$65.00Apr 10, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?$119.52Apr 7, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?$131.76Apr 7, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?$126.72Apr 7, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYQuerétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5$478.92Apr 7, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$81.42Apr 7, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$415.95Apr 7, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-18?$227.07Mar 31, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?$261.80Mar 31, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLSundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?$166.00Mar 31, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?$699.69Mar 31, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?$876.12Mar 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-04-18?$67.86Mar 29, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?$269.28Mar 29, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$236.98Mar 26, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $282.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.