Superior-Duel
0xcab23aed27c6dd17af612b93543deb71fa770b68
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-17.92
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1350 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-0.67
- ARTHUR RINDERKNECH
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm
1001 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$635.93
$-15.58
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
52 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$51.66
$0.55
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
45 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$44.93
$-0.02
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
37 shares @ 86.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.79
$-2.04
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
12 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.88
$0.14
- NO
Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$9.99
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$32.00May 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm$37.34May 14, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm$621.01May 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$442.98May 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$206.36May 14, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$46.39May 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$46.37May 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$206.34May 13, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.8KMay 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.79May 13, 08:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.55May 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.0KMay 11, 10:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $425.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".