Decent-Parable
0xcac5c4685ec491f9fa01edd1c5d2602464518fd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$10.96
Total PnL
$-40.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.45
$0.45
- YES
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.64
$-2.36
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
90 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.77
$-1.23
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
136 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.47
$-1.53
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 11?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.49May 18, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.03May 18, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.20May 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07May 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?$1.04May 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.20May 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.00May 12, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$5.19May 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07May 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.10May 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.00May 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$1.00May 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.04May 11, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.04May 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$2.00May 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.00May 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$1.00May 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.08May 11, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".