Somber-Size
0xcae01c6bbde5c8240af779912cd25d6f0be49f81
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$802.86
Total PnL
$93.94
Realised
$-21.57
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
703 shares @ 2.1¢·now 20.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$142.32
$127.32
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174 shares @ 70.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$119.19
$-3.61
- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
121 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$88.17
$-2.42
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
51 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.27
$3.90
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
784 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$45.09
$-4.91
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
55 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.44
$1.65
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
893 shares @ 5.6¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$41.52
$-8.48
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
210 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.70
$4.02
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$35.75
$7.75
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
119 shares @ 43.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$35.58
$-15.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.82May 22, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$8.44May 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.88May 22, 01:43 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.10May 22, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$13.22May 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?$14.00May 21, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$52.85May 21, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$0.00May 21, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?$0.00May 21, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 21, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?$0.00May 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$16.00May 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?$13.14May 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?$7.50May 21, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Radical Left" during events in Rockland County?$13.80May 21, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.59May 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?$3.65May 21, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County?$3.65May 21, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" during events in Rockland County?$11.40May 21, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".