Old-Incidence
0xcb21d8f2a1461f7e8b5ed5f2c86488d19b203f88
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$31.85
Total PnL
$-68.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?
23 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$19.16
$-0.34
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?
12 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$6.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.06
$-3.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 12?
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$19.70May 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?$7.21May 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$10.21May 15, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$27.78May 15, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$8.62May 15, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?$9.73May 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$20.39May 13, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?$10.20May 13, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?$13.32May 12, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$27.06May 12, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?$10.71May 11, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?$5.33May 11, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$5.13May 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$23.24May 10, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 12?$7.07May 10, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$7.14May 10, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?$11.12May 10, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?$12.31May 10, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?$9.90May 10, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?$4.07May 10, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".